Sunday, April 26, 2020

Intelligence, Oracles, Magic and Politics


The de facto ID concept of intelligence.

As I have remarked many times on this blog the de facto Intelligent Design movement affects to leave the internal details of the "intelligence" they believe to have stepped in and directly created life as a mystery. There is some justification in this policy: When handling great mysteries (e.g. Divinity) caution is sometimes the better part of valour and so it may be best to proceed apophatically; that is, to define the mystery in terms of what it isn't. An apophatic approach to intelligence seems to be stock in trade of the de facto ID community in North America. In fact as far as I can tell the mainstream IDists believe that the intelligent agent which created life is neither explicable in terms of so-called "natural forces" or even for that matter any process which has the potential to be expressed algorithmically no matter how complex that algorithm may be. I find their views a little ironic: As many of them make claim to a Christian faith one might think that those so-called "natural forces" which we as Christians believe to be God's sublime Creation may hold one or two surprises for us as to what these "forces" (under Sovereign management) can do; after all, Quantum Mechanics alone has left enlightenment humankind thoroughly perplexed as to what it all means (For a start it is no longer meaningful to talk of matter as having identity of substance; identity comes via configuration). But no, in the de-facto IDist world  the "profane natural forces" vs "sacred intelligent agency" dichotomy is their habitual thesis and anti-thesis. In their view "matter" is too debased and inferior to be a secondary source of the dignified sublimity of  mind.

So, in the light of all this I was not in the least bit surprised to find a post on the de facto Intelligent Design website Uncommon Descent with links to ID material  giving the clearest evidence I've yet seen that de facto ID prefers to think about true "Intelligence" as a property tantamount to a magical power, setting it apart from anything else we encounter in this world*1. The UD post in question alerts us to one of de facto ID's gurus who is attempting to identify human intelligence as having the ability to act as a "partial halting oracle". That is, it is assumed that human intelligence is an oracle which can in some (but not all) cases solve the halting problem. According to Wiki. the concept of an "Oracle" as used in computational theory is defined as follows:

An oracle machine can be conceived as a Turing machine connected to an oracle. The oracle, in this context, is an entity capable of solving some problem, which for example may be a decision problem or a function problem. The problem does not have to be computable; the oracle is not assumed to be a Turing machine or computer program. The oracle is simply a "black box"  that is able to produce a solution for any instance of a given computational problem:

A "black box" capable of doing the right thing sums up those inscrutable oracular powers. This manoeuvre by an IDist guru well and truly places the essence of intelligence all but beyond analytical probing *2. As I have said many times before the de facto IDist's preference for an esoteric notion of intelligence traces back to their use of their "explanatory filter" which once it has been used to settle on intelligent agency as the cause of a pattern doesn't really allow one to proceed much further. This of course contrasts with my own approach to intelligence which doesn't resort to super-analytical processes; well nearly: In my Thinknet project I see intelligence as a teleologically driven search process by a "Thinknet" like system. Thinknet systems are potentially chaotic which means that they can amplify those quantum ambiguities up to the macroscopic level, ambiguities which if they remained un-collapsed would give us people who could be in two places at once. Well, we can't have that at the macroscopic level so if the mind is constantly collapsing those wave-function, then, I tender, it is this process of constant collapse which generates consciousness.  But if the mind amplifies those apparent random collapses  up to macroscopic level there is therefore the potential for it to manifest that great incomputable - absolute randomness; so in that sense mind has an incomputable aspect to it. Nevertheless, what I'm proposing is no blackbox concept of intelligence: I'm working on a notion of intelligence that is much more resolvable than ID's magical oracular black box and this is why I have to sophisticate the explanatory filter.

Turning to my subjective perspective on my own thought life I must say that it certainly doesn't feel like some magical oracle able to coolly solve a problem just like that! In contrast problem solving requires the hard graft of mental searching as one attempts to make connections which lead to solutions. To me my thought life feels much more like the seek, reject and select trial & error grind of a Thinknet search than it does ID's magical oracle where genius solutions just pop into the head. I see the hard work associated with thinking as a consequence of the overheard incurred by using a very general-purpose thinking system with a general purpose connectionist language to solve the generic problem; as this system is a jack-of-all trades-problem-solver it can be slow at solving specialised problems as it has to first translate the problem into its connecionist terms.

I don't have a strong claim to having clinched the essence of intelligence anymore than do the defacto IDists. But like myself they have just as much right to investigate an avenue of possibility in their search for what intelligence is about. In fact I believe their presence is a good thing; the more people investigating different avenues the better. For all I know the IDists might be right! Also, like the IDists I believe that intelligence of some sort underpins the nature of the cosmos.  So under any other circumstances I would applaud the IDists efforts at tentatively trying to move forward with something new; after all that's science for you.  But I'm afraid in this case I can't applaud. Why is that?

***

Well, the answer to that is politics especially the politics in North America. It's the catalyst that has precipitated and hardened a "natural forces" vs "intelligent agency" polarisation. The IDists are persona non grata among the academic establishment and so it is no surprise that these IDists have been tempted to put all their eggs into the "intelligence-is-magic" basket in order to batter academia's evolutionary and algorithmic rendering of the processes of life, processes the academics believe to have generated human intelligence. Some times I wonder if the de facto ID people aren't really being serious with their proposals and simply come up with their stuff just to rile the academic establishment!

But the politics doesn't stop there. IDism is all part of a greater right vs left wing tribal conflict which means that the right wing sharply disagree with the government tenured academics over one or more of a set of well contended issues (as mentioned in my last blog post): e.g. vaccinations, climate change, gay rights, deep government conspiracy theories, the regulatory role of government, the covid-19 lock down, hyper-market libertarianism, gun rights etc. The common underlying theme running through all this is the diffidence right-wingers have toward central government interventions; no!, make that the status quo interventions:  When it comes down to it the right-wing is just as capable of supplying individuals of totalitarian inclination as any other human sub-culture, if not more so. Do you think those characters one finds in America's quasi-militias would have the slightest respect for the argumentative cut and thrust of an authentic parliament? Unlikely: More to their taste would be for one of their plutocrats to do a Cromwell and clear parliament using AR-15 armed thugs.

Crackpot daftness can be found on the extremes of both left and right, but my argument here is with the right-wingery of the de facto ID community. Right wing sentiments ultimately drive their all but exclusive commitment to an Oracular paradigm of intelligence. They've backed  themselves into the cramped corner of this paradigm because they are suspicious of those government tenured academics who for the most part will get rubbed up the wrong way by de facto ID's support of oracular intelligence.

The republican language coming out of England's 1642 civil war fed into the American war of independence (from tax) and now the North American right-wing endlessly recapitulate the sentiments of this language Viz: interference coming from a tax funded government is at best regarded with suspicion and at worse as evidence of a deep government conspiracy.  For example, on Uncommon Descent one can find references to "climate change alarmism" and also "covid-19 lock down alarmism". The emotive term "alarmism" is the keyword expressing right-wing apprehensions about projects largely emanating from government sponsored tax funded bodies. In my view coordinating the social responses to the black swans of climate change and covid-19 requires centralised information and control; such a response is well beyond the powers of the sluggish market with its distributed blind-watch-maker decisions. But such government involvement is the right-winger's worst nightmare come true; especially if government should muff it (which they often do!)

The pretext supporting the "libertarian" polemic about covid-19 and climate change is, however, entirely plausible if not sound: The world's wealth generating markets could be so affected by central government policies that it causes huge economic hardship or perhaps even an apocalyptic economic collapse. But this line of argument cuts both ways. Covid-19 and climate change, if left to run their courses, could conceivably also cause economic collapse. Moreover, the right wing's emotive language can be used against them: One might accuse them of promulgating "economic hardship alarmism", or "totalitarian new world order alarmism". Both sides are faced by the same dilemma: The  fix may be worse than the problem!

Whilst I strongly reject the border-line Marxism and anti-theism found among some academics, neither can I support the right-wing affectation for so-called libertarianism. Libertarianism is to the free market as fundamentalism is to Christianity; they are the kiss of death for the things they purport to uphold. Sociopathic libertarianism is a source of social disaffection thus helping to serve up a discontented society on a platter to either Marxist or right-wing dictators. For example, allowing covid-19 to take its course is likely to strike harder among the poor than the rich and therefore this solution to our problems is readily perceived as the solution in favour of the rich. Moreover, self-branded "libertarianism" with its connotation of "liberty" comes under the heading of "self-praise is no recommendation": Looking at the mix of potential plutocrats, domineering characters and the well armed quasi-militias (in America) who make claim to the name "libertarian" it is easy to imagine a would be dictator arising from their ranks. And it wouldn't be the first time that "liberty" and "hegemony" have walked hand in hand; let's recall the outcomes of the English civil war of 1642, the French revolution of 1789, the October revolution and Mao's China. Idealism and hegemony are closely linked.

The many wildcards of socio-economics don't stop some people thinking they are clever predictors and planners. The open-endedness of socio-economic systems is a bottomless pit of new data that can be cherry-picked and tailored to support the favoured planning polemic. In a chaotic world human beings are necessarily complex adaptive systems and therefore by definition much better opportunists than they are planners. They make their decisions and take their opportunities on the hoof. Like other biological organisms society is a mix of central as well as distributed control and this mix no doubt better suits a chaotic world where black swans create new problems and at the same time deliver otherwise unforeseen opportunities. But the time honoured overriding concern of human beings is that of hanging on to the immediacies of survival at all costs and that's probably why many people favour social distancing rather than the long shot of saving an abstract economic system that more likely favours lining the rich man's pockets in his ivory tower before it gets to line your pockets (if you've survived covid-19!). While there's life there is hope, hope that the new opportunities open up into vistas of  fruitful originality and prosperity.  We can only plant and water; it is God that gives growth.


POSTSCRIPT 
27/4/20

In a post on Uncommon Descent that I wouldn't necessarily want to take issue with we find an interesting comment from a character called "Polistra". Viz:

Polistra April 26, 2020 at 2:48 pm
This is silly and illogical. It wasn’t the virus that stopped the world.
The virus just wandered around and found tissues to infect, and the humans who own the tissues killed the virus using standard weapons and tactics. A very few humans were unable to maintain the war, and they lost.
The world was stopped by GOVERNMENTS. The virus was just the latest fake “reason” for stopping the world.

This commentator doesn't like the fact that the UD post suggests 900 bytes of covid-19 DNA is the reason why the world has shut down. Polistra clearly wants a much clearer statement that the culpability lies with GOVERNMENTS.  Polistra doesn't tell us why governments want to shut the world down with what he calls a "fake" reason any more than flat earthers will tell us why the UN wants us to believe in a spherical earth instead of their flat earth. Although I don't think most UDers would go along with this kind of conspiracy theorism it's probably significant that they don't challenge him: He's one of them, he's part of their anti-government tribe!  The irony is, as I have already said, that it's so easy to see dictators readily emerging from the ranks of the domineering fanatical right wingers if they should ever get power.


Footnotes
*1 I'm not quite sure how this works out with human beings, objects which from a third person perspective are observed to be entirely a product of  complex organisations of  God's atoms.

*2 Turing's halting theorem and Godel's incompleteness theorem are closely related in that both use  the "runaway self-referencing" reasoning found in the diagonalisation procedure. Roger Penrose proposed that the human ability to understand Godel's argument proved that human thinking was an incomputable process. Hence Penrises ideas are also favoured by IDists. Whilst it is wrong to dismiss Penrose outright I have submitted my reasons why I don't follow him down this particular avenue..

Saturday, April 18, 2020

Anti-Science or Anti Academic Establishment?


They'll love Mars then!

Since the 1960s Western Christianity, especially among the liberal academic and intellectual elite, has become increasingly marginalised. Although this drift undoubtedly predated the 1960s, the cultural marginalisation of Christianity by intellectual trend setters has, to people on the ground like myself, become noticeably more pronounced since the 1960s. The Christian reaction among those with fundamentalist tendencies was and is to counter this cultural shift with a loud proclamation of contrariness; although this contrariness is probably less caused by fundamentalism than it is the definition of fundamentalism; feel marginalised? Just shout louder! This contrariness expresses itself through one or more of a motley collection of shibboleth issues such as anti-vaccination theories, anti-climate change theories, anti-gay rights, young earthism, flat earthism, a huge variety of conspiracy theories usually involving "deep government", fear of government, anti covid-19 lock down, extreme market libertarianism, promotion of gun rights and above all a general identification with the tribe of right-wing of politics: I would not want to call all these people "conservative" because some of them advocate quite extreme un-conservative, anti-science ideas. (e.g. flat earth and other conspiracy theories)*

Although there are some overtly anti-rational Christians who openly embrace fideism many of the aforementioned right-wingers like to make claim to scientific legitimacy to give some kudos to their case.  But because scientific epistemology is so often unhelpful to their theories the only way forward for them is to portray a distorted view of science before they can enlist it in support of their views. A common corruption of science which I have commented on many times is the false view that there is a distinction between observational science and so called historical science which is supposed to have no observational support. This concept falls over because no scientifically proposed object is really ever directly observable: What makes the crucial difference is not some bogus distinction between empirical science and non-empirical science but the fact that objects of scientific study have varying epistemic distances; this means that those objects have varying amenability to their structures being populated with observational protocols.

But rather than accepting that there is a sliding scale of epistemic amenability on scientific objects many right-wingers like to promote the notion that there is a sharp distinction between  true science which is supposed to be thoroughly empirical and science they don't like which they claim isn't (very?) empirical. This distorted concept of science is then mobilised in an attempt to de-legitimatise science that is inconvenient to the right-wing world view. As I have recorded before on this blog this polemical technique is very often employed by fundamentalist theme park manager Ken Ham. In fact Ham's tame astronomer Danny Faulkner has spent so many years as an apologist for Ham's theme park that it seems to have addled his thinking about scientific epistemology; see for example this post of mine where I charge Faulkner with having a debased and caricatured view of scientific epistemology. Faulkner thinks that science is about what can be detected with the five senses. Well yes, science is about the five senses but very little in fact can be detected directly with these senses. The senses simply provide a limited sampling window on the complex but otherwise rational objects of our cosmos, objects which are for the most part well beyond our senses. The only reason why our sensorial "key-hole-view" works is (in my opinion) because God has created a thoroughly rational,  ordered world and therefore readable world. Reading this world is like reading the sentences of a rational person**. Formal science works and works well. Praise be to God Almighty!

Another example of a right-winger who somehow thinks that true science should be "empirical" can be witnessed in this blog post of mine where Brian Cox clashes with Australia senator and conspiracy theorist Malcolm Roberts.  Roberts is unwilling to accept computer climate modeling and Cox has to labour the scientific point that modelling is the only way to anticipate the future of the Earth's climate. Roberts' claim that the models don't work empirically (which is debatable) is not backed up by way of alternative, better models, tested against his pretensions to empiricism. It seems that Roberts simply doesn't accept esoteric modelling as part of the valid scientific method.  I don't know what he thinks he's going to do with all this empirical data he makes claim to if it isn't used to help build and test a model. In any case let's beware of the "alternative facts" of those who have swallowed conspiracy theorism as a world view.

Finally another example of an anti-science right-winger has come to light in a post by PZ Myers where Myers quotes a Tweet from Republican John Carnyn who is even clearer in his denial of modelling as valid science: 



The Tweet reads:

After #COVID19 crisis passes, could we have a good faith discussion about the uses and abuses of "modeling" to predict the future?  Everything from public health, to economic to climate predictions.  It isn't the scientific method, folks. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_method

Cornyn obviously hasn't read his own Wiki reference and he consequently gets the mauling he deserves from Myers and his following. Their criticisms are along the lines you'd expect from professional science people: You just can't move in science without creating a model of some sort and testing it formally against experimental results: No model? Then nothing to test and therefore no science.  Every department of science, and in fact even much of our day to day living, involves the tense and sometime contentious dialogue between our concept of how the world works (i.e. our mental on-board models) and our experience. We all use an informal version of science: That is we all have some kind of anticipation about how the world works (i.e. a "model", which maybe constructed from the sampling of previous experience) and then bring that anticipation into dialogue with experience. This, I propose, is even true of religions although let's just say that sometimes theology tends to be more creative, metaphorical, seat-of-the-pants and free format than the science of the relatively simple very regular objects of spring extending and test tube precipitating science; no surprise, then, that sometimes the gaps and ambiguities in the theological account are filled in with authoritarian fulminations of the raving fundamentalist.

My own guess as to what really drives the right-wing anti-science agenda is a paranoid counter cultural malaise which smarts under the realisation that they have little influence and credibility among the academic establishment elite. What's worrying, however, is that in America some of these right-wingers are armed to the teeth and may start shooting if they don't get their way. 

Bang!, bang! bang! bang! You'd better dance to the tune of the AR-15!

Fortunately I think we are dealing with a fanatical minority here -  at least I hope so. 


Relevant links.

See also
https://quantumnonlinearity.blogspot.com/2011/06/cloistered-academics-vs-punks.html

See also the link below to the de facto ID website Uncommon Descent where we find a video that is ignorant of the status of the second law of thermodynamics:
https://uncommondescent.com/intelligent-design/when-scientists-ignore-science-by-mark-champney


Footnotes

* Some "New Agers" seem to be going down a similar road to Christian Fundamentalists especially regarding conspiracy theorism, and anti-vaxing. They have a similar attitude to academia as do fundamentalists.

** This assumption of a rational regular world appears to break down in paranormal connections. In paranormal circumstances the world, locally at least, slips into an almost dream state (cf "The Oz effect"). These experiences form muddled erratic patterns that are the anti-thesis of a testable regular reality. The paranormal is a breakdown of rationality, a kind of storm of delirium in the usually regular fabric of reality. Hence the great difficulty of attempts to get an epistemic handle on the paranormal. Paranormal experiences do, however, seem to have some kind of loose associative/connotative/Freudian meaning not unlike dreams

Sunday, April 12, 2020

A Case Study in Technological Capitalism: Part II. Under the Doctors.



These bespoke machines were killer products in 1984


This is Part II of a 3 part series on a company I once worked for called "Xenotron"; this name was chosen by the start-up owner because it means in Latin "Strange Machine", and let's face it, the history of the world since the industrial revolution has been dominated by the advent of strange machines in large numbers; steam engines, telephones, production lines, cars, aircraft, tanks, bombs, television, computers etc. At the introduction of each have been innovators, entrepreneurs and speculators; all people who helped make the world what it is today.

The PDF's of Part I and Part II can be found here and here respectively. Below I reproduce the first section of the introduction to Part II.  My first blog post introducing this series can be found here. This story in part explains why I always say "I'm in favour of the Free Market, but with a 'But'....."


The story so far
In Part 1 of this history we saw how innovative technology company Xenotron had come to the fore in the printing industry as a result of it marketing a killer product: Viz: A unique combination of electronic hardware and software facilitating page and ad make up WYSIWYG style on a computer screen.; this device was called the Xenotron Video Composer or XVC. In 1976 when this proprietary product first appeared on the market nothing like it had been seen before. In Part I  I suggested that the introduction of Xenotron’s XVC  was comparable with the printing press revolution of 15th century; well,  I like to think so as I had a small part the play in it! (No, make that a “tiny part”!). But at the very least the product was revolutionary and original enough to ensure Xenotron’s initial fast growth. However, by the mid-1980s the technological goal posts were on the move again: Xenotron’s growth meant that its organisational overheads were starting to balloon and the market had changed and slowed. In particular, on the horizon loomed the need to adopt standard platforms and become a systems integrator for printing companies who were now looking for single vendor solutions to system wide problems; this contrasted with Xenotron’s initial “one-trick-pony” XVC act (Although to be fair Xenotron did increase its repertoire of tricks).  Xenotron’s initial big profits were plummeting and just breaking-even became a challenge.  To meet this challenge a new trouble shooting CEO was called in, Danny Chapchal, who had a CV of nursing back to health ailing companies. One of his first acts was to sell Xenotron to the German printing company, Dr. –Ing. Rudolf Hell of Keil.

In this second part of the Xenotron adventure I will be looking at Xenotron’s progress under its two “doctors”:  namely, Danny Chapchal whose initials were appropriately “D R” and who was billed in Lithoprinter as a “Company Doctor” (See pages 7 & 8), and of course its buyer Dr. Hell.  Could these doctors rescue Xenotron from the bottomless pit of free market oblivion?  Well, it’s no spoiler to reveal that the answer to that question was, in the end, “No”. But spoiler or no spoiler I’m going to tell the story anyway because that story is less about the final outcome than the “how” and the “why” of that outcome. In particular, this story gives a perspective on what it’s like to be inside the ravages of a typically capitalist scenario of changing technology and changing markets. Here the demands of the market, demands sourced in human acquisitional motivations, often find themselves ill at ease with other human values rooted in human social needs. More comments on that subject can be found below.